Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 14:00
12.8133.9%
X3.4527.6%
22.4838.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
LLDWLDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Toulouse
LDLLLWWLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
10.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.20goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.00
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Brest conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
10.70
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.30
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%33.0%-0.9 pp
Draw27.6%29.3%+1.6 pp
Away38.4%37.8%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.301.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-110.9%
0-08.5%
1-08.2%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.26
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=294.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%18.0%–35.5% CI
Draw FT37.6%28.5%–47.8% CI
Away FT36.6%27.5%–46.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away53.8%