Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 12:00
11.3769.5%
X5.1518.5%
27.9212.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WWDWDWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lorient
WWDDWLLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.00goals per matchLorient conceded1.50Matchup
Lorient attack
1.40goals per matchLille conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
0.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
25.20
Match total
22.60
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.70
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.5%74.8%+5.3 pp
Draw18.5%13.6%-4.9 pp
Away12.0%11.7%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
2.51–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.6%
3-012.6%
2-012.6%
1-07.8%
4-15.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.85–3.61
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.9%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.539.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away20.8%