Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 12:00
11.3769.5%
X5.1518.5%
27.9212.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWDWDWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lorient
WWDDWLLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.00goals per match
Lorient conceded1.50
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.40goals per match
Lille conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
0.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
25.20
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.70
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.5%74.8%+5.3 pp
Draw18.5%13.6%-4.9 pp
Away12.0%11.7%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.510.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.6%
3-012.6%
2-012.6%
1-07.8%
4-15.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.853.61
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.9%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.539.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away20.8%