Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-31 · 20:00
11.4665.3%
X4.6120.7%
26.8014.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DLLWWWDLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Montpellier
LLLDWLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
3.50
10.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.60goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.70
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.00goals per match
Marseille conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.50
10.60
Match total
8.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.60
Match total
27.20

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%75.5%+10.2 pp
Draw20.7%15.0%-5.7 pp
Away14.0%9.5%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

2.260.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.0%
2-115.0%
1-010.9%
3-18.2%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.613.42
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%50.8%–77.3% CI
Draw FT19.6%10.7%–33.2% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.1%
2+ goals58.7%
3+ goals32.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.3%
Away39.1%