Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 19:45
12.9532.3%
X3.4927.3%
22.3640.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
LDWWWDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Marseille
WLDWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
8.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.80goals per match
Marseille conceded0.80
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.00goals per match
Reims conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
8.90
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.40
Match total
24.70

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.90
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%31.0%-1.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.4%+1.1 pp
Away40.4%40.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.211.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-08.2%
0-28.2%
0-18.2%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.36
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%21.5%–40.6% CI
Draw FT38.4%28.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT31.4%22.6%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away55.8%