Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 19:45
12.9532.3%
X3.4927.3%
22.3640.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reims
LDWWWDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Marseille
WLDWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
8.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reims attack
1.80goals per matchMarseille conceded0.80Matchup
Marseille attack
2.00goals per matchReims conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
8.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.40
Match total
24.70
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.90
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%31.0%-1.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.4%+1.1 pp
Away40.4%40.5%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.21–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
1-08.2%
0-28.2%
0-18.2%
1-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–5.36
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%21.5%–40.6% CI
Draw FT38.4%28.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT31.4%22.6%–41.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.2%
Away55.8%