Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
12.8633.3%
X3.3628.4%
22.4938.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
DDDDDLDLLD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Brest
DLWLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Against
7.20
10.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.00goals per match
Brest conceded1.40
Matchup

Brest attack

0.80goals per match
Troyes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
7.20
10.70
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.90
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.10
Match total
27.20

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.20
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%31.0%-2.3 pp
Draw28.4%26.1%-2.3 pp
Away38.3%42.9%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.161.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-112.4%
1-08.3%
0-08.3%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.035.08
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%15.2%–29.2% CI
Draw FT36.6%28.9%–45.2% CI
Away FT42.0%33.9%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.4%
Away59.5%