Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
11.6856.8%
X3.8624.7%
25.1618.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
LWDWDWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
WWWDDWLLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.60goals per matchLorient conceded1.40Matchup
Lorient attack
1.40goals per matchNice conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
0.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.70
Match total
23.10
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.0%+2.2 pp
Draw24.7%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away18.5%18.3%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.77–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.7%
2-110.7%
2-010.7%
1-110.1%
0-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.95
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%38.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT36.5%27.9%–46.1% CI
Away FT15.4%9.7%–23.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.5%
Away36.5%