Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
11.6856.8%
X3.8624.7%
25.1618.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LWDWDWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
WWWDDWLLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded1.40
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.40goals per match
Nice conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.70
Match total
23.10

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.0%+2.2 pp
Draw24.7%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away18.5%18.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.770.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
2-110.7%
2-010.7%
1-110.1%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.95
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%38.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT36.5%27.9%–46.1% CI
Away FT15.4%9.7%–23.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away36.5%