Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
11.8750.9%
X3.5227.0%
24.3222.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
WLLDLLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Clermont
DWDDLWWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.10
10.40
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.50goals per matchClermont conceded0.80Matchup
Clermont attack
1.00goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.10
10.40
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
27.70
Match total
26.60
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%53.9%+3.0 pp
Draw27.0%27.3%+0.3 pp
Away22.0%18.8%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.54–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
2-112.2%
1-111.2%
2-011.2%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–3.94
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%35.3%–53.0% CI
Draw FT42.2%33.6%–51.3% CI
Away FT13.8%8.7%–21.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.9%
Away31.9%