Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 12:00
15.2718.1%
X3.7025.8%
21.7056.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
LLLWWLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Monaco
WWLWWDDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
6.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.20goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
6.60
Match total
8.60
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
29.80
Match total
22.10

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.20
On target
5.70
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%14.1%-4.0 pp
Draw25.8%25.0%-0.8 pp
Away56.1%60.9%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

0.681.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.5%
0-215.2%
1-113.0%
0-08.7%
1-38.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.555.64
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT46.9%30.9%–63.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.1%
Away62.5%