Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 20:00
11.2576.5%
X6.0915.7%
212.347.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Angers
WLLLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.40
0.50
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
1.60goals per matchAngers conceded2.00Matchup
Angers attack
0.40goals per matchLens conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
9.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.50
Match total
26.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%77.3%+0.7 pp
Draw15.7%13.6%-2.1 pp
Away7.8%9.1%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.30–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-113.6%
2-013.6%
2-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.92–3.20
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home85.7%
Away42.9%