Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 16:00
13.2129.7%
X3.6626.1%
22.1644.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WWDLWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lille
LLWLWDLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.30
11.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

2.10goals per match
Lille conceded1.20
Matchup

Lille attack

1.40goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.30
11.10
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.30
Match total
28.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.40
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%32.1%+2.4 pp
Draw26.1%23.7%-2.4 pp
Away44.2%44.2%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.351.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.5%
1-19.5%
0-07.4%
1-37.4%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.94
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.9%20.3%–44.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%24.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away56.4%