Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 16:00
13.2129.7%
X3.6626.1%
22.1644.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
WWDLWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lille
LLWLWDLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.30
11.10
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
2.10goals per matchLille conceded1.20Matchup
Lille attack
1.40goals per matchToulouse conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.30
11.10
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.30
Match total
28.20
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.40
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%32.1%+2.4 pp
Draw26.1%23.7%-2.4 pp
Away44.2%44.2%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.35–1.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-29.5%
1-19.5%
0-07.4%
1-37.4%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–4.94
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.9%20.3%–44.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%24.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals23.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.1%
Away56.4%