Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 20:00
11.6059.7%
X4.1423.1%
25.5417.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WLDWDLLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nantes
LLDLDWDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.20
11.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.10goals per match
Nantes conceded1.60
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Lyon conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.20
11.30
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%62.0%+2.3 pp
Draw23.1%19.0%-4.1 pp
Away17.2%19.0%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.900.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-110.9%
2-110.9%
2-010.0%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.86
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.9%–62.1% CI
Draw FT32.3%22.0%–44.6% CI
Away FT17.7%10.2%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.6%
Away45.2%