Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 19:45
11.4067.9%
X4.8019.8%
27.6912.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
WDLLWWWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Strasbourg
DLWDLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
2.20
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
6.90
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
1.60goals per matchStrasbourg conceded2.00Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.30goals per matchMarseille conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.90
10.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.40
Match total
27.90
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.9%68.3%+0.5 pp
Draw19.8%17.6%-2.2 pp
Away12.4%14.1%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS46.5%
Historical average
2.13–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.8%
2-112.7%
1-012.0%
2-27.7%
0-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.75–3.24
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%42.2%–72.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away30.6%