Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
12.9832.0%
X3.1829.9%
22.5038.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LDWDDWDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nice
WLDWDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Against
4.80
10.40
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Nice conceded0.80
Matchup

Nice attack

1.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.80
10.40
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.60
Match total
1.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
7.40N=10
25.40
Match total
17.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches235
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%32.8%+0.8 pp
Draw29.9%29.4%-0.6 pp
Away38.1%37.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.111.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-112.8%
0-010.6%
1-09.8%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.614.84
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.7%16.8%–34.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%33.5%–54.1% CI
Away FT31.8%22.8%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away48.2%