Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
11.7654.0%
X3.8324.8%
24.4921.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WDLLLDWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Troyes
LWLLLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
9.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.80
2.20
Total goals
4.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Troyes conceded2.80
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.50goals per match
Lorient conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
9.60
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%57.9%+3.9 pp
Draw24.8%24.8%-0.0 pp
Away21.2%17.3%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.830.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-111.4%
1-010.9%
2-08.6%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.923.96
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.7%34.5%–53.3% CI
Draw FT37.9%29.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT18.4%12.1%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.1%
Away45.6%