Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
11.7654.0%
X3.8324.8%
24.4921.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
WDLLLDWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Troyes
LWLLLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
9.60
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.80
2.20
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.10goals per matchTroyes conceded2.80Matchup
Troyes attack
1.50goals per matchLorient conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
9.60
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
22.70
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%57.9%+3.9 pp
Draw24.8%24.8%-0.0 pp
Away21.2%17.3%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.83–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-111.4%
1-010.9%
2-08.6%
3-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–3.96
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.7%34.5%–53.3% CI
Draw FT37.9%29.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT18.4%12.1%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.1%
Away45.6%