Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
13.6126.4%
X3.6825.8%
21.9947.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
WLLLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Toulouse
LLDLLLWWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
2.20
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.20
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Angers conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.70
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%19.0%-7.3 pp
Draw25.8%20.7%-5.2 pp
Away47.8%60.3%+12.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.121.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.1%
1-19.2%
0-17.6%
0-37.1%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.49
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.7%8.2%–28.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Away FT51.0%37.7%–64.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals56.9%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away72.5%