Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
13.6126.4%
X3.6825.8%
21.9947.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Angers
WLLLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Toulouse
LLDLLLWWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
2.20
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Angers attack
1.10goals per matchToulouse conceded2.20Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.20goals per matchAngers conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.70
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.30
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%19.0%-7.3 pp
Draw25.8%20.7%-5.2 pp
Away47.8%60.3%+12.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
1.12–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.1%
1-19.2%
0-17.6%
0-37.1%
0-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–5.49
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.7%8.2%–28.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Away FT51.0%37.7%–64.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.86
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals56.9%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away72.5%