Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
12.9632.2%
X3.1730.0%
22.5237.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
LLLLWWLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Montpellier
LLLLDWLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.60
6.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.90
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.00goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.60
6.80
Match total
8.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.50
Match total
26.80

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.40
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches260
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%33.8%+1.7 pp
Draw30.0%31.9%+1.9 pp
Away37.8%34.2%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.091.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-012.7%
0-111.5%
2-19.6%
1-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.61
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=260.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.1%15.2%–31.0% CI
Draw FT51.0%41.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT26.9%19.3%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away51.9%