Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 12:00
14.5421.0%
X3.4927.3%
21.8451.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Clermont
LWLDLWDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lens
DLWWDDDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.50
Against
4.50
7.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.80goals per match
Lens conceded0.90
Matchup

Lens attack

0.90goals per match
Clermont conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.50
7.40
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
28.80
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%29.6%+8.6 pp
Draw27.3%21.1%-6.2 pp
Away51.7%49.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.081.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-212.7%
0-19.9%
1-09.9%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.796.31
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away52.4%