Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 20:00
16.8713.8%
X4.8819.4%
21.4266.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
DLLDWLDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Paris SG
WWDWWLLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.20
Against
3.70
10.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.20goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.70goals per match
Brest conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.70
10.80
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.10
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.70
On target
5.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.8%12.3%-1.5 pp
Draw19.4%21.0%+1.6 pp
Away66.8%66.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

0.952.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.8%
1-111.1%
0-19.9%
0-29.9%
0-36.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.586.43
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away75.0%