Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 20:00
11.9249.9%
X3.7625.5%
23.8824.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWWDWDWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Lyon
LLWLWDWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.90goals per match
Lyon conceded1.20
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.70
Match total
28.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.50
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches207
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%49.8%-0.1 pp
Draw25.5%30.4%+5.0 pp
Away24.7%19.8%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.711.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-010.6%
2-010.1%
2-28.2%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.48
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=207.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%30.6%–55.1% CI
Draw FT35.6%24.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT22.0%13.4%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.5%
Away45.8%