Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 16:05
11.5362.3%
X4.4221.6%
25.9316.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWLDWDLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lorient
LWWWDDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
5.50
11.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.90
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.60goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.50
11.40
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.60
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.10
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.60
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%68.3%+6.0 pp
Draw21.6%20.8%-0.8 pp
Away16.1%10.9%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.160.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
1-111.9%
2-011.4%
3-08.9%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.63
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%33.0%–58.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%24.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT18.2%10.2%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.3%
Away45.5%