Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
11.7953.2%
X3.7825.2%
24.4121.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WWWDLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Clermont
LDWDDLWWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.50
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.20
Against
4.40
11.20
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

2.20goals per match
Clermont conceded0.90
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.90goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.40
11.20
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.70
Match total
27.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.70
On target
3.90
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches284
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.2%57.0%+3.8 pp
Draw25.2%26.8%+1.6 pp
Away21.6%16.2%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.770.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-111.3%
2-011.3%
1-010.2%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.88
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=284.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%29.5%–50.0% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT17.9%11.1%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.5%
Away44.0%