Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.0047.6%
X3.2929.0%
24.0723.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Strasbourg
DLLDDLDLWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Brest
LDLWLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.10
Against
6.60
6.30
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.30goals per matchBrest conceded1.50Matchup
Brest attack
0.70goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.60
6.30
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.70
Match total
27.00
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches610
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%49.2%+1.5 pp
Draw29.0%27.5%-1.4 pp
Away23.4%23.3%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.52–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-012.1%
2-111.3%
0-09.5%
2-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.25
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=610.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.1% CI
Draw FT42.3%35.5%–49.5% CI
Away FT20.6%15.5%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals10.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away36.0%