Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.0047.6%
X3.2929.0%
24.0723.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
DLLDDLDLWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Brest
LDLWLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.10
Against
6.60
6.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.30goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Matchup

Brest attack

0.70goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.60
6.30
Match total
10.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.70
Match total
27.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches610
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%49.2%+1.5 pp
Draw29.0%27.5%-1.4 pp
Away23.4%23.3%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.520.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-012.1%
2-111.3%
0-09.5%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.25
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=610.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.1% CI
Draw FT42.3%35.5%–49.5% CI
Away FT20.6%15.5%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away36.0%