Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
11.6159.3%
X3.8624.7%
25.9915.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
DLDWWWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ajaccio
WWDLDLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
9.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.80goals per match
Ajaccio conceded2.10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.90goals per match
Reims conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
9.40
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.40
Match total
26.20

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
6.00
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%65.5%+6.2 pp
Draw24.7%23.5%-1.2 pp
Away15.9%10.9%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS36.1%

Historical average

1.770.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.5%
2-014.3%
3-013.4%
0-09.2%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.863.42
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.545.4%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.2%47.6%–74.9% CI
Draw FT31.1%19.5%–45.7% CI
Away FT6.7%2.3%–17.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.1%
Away17.8%