Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
11.7753.9%
X3.6825.9%
24.7420.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
LWLLDLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Angers
LWLLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.40
1.80
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
10.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
1.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.10goals per matchAngers conceded2.00Matchup
Angers attack
0.40goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
10.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.80
Match total
25.40
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%58.0%+4.1 pp
Draw25.9%24.4%-1.5 pp
Away20.1%17.5%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
1.70–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.6%
2-112.1%
1-111.9%
2-011.1%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.97–4.09
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.2%38.8%–55.9% CI
Draw FT38.6%30.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT14.2%9.2%–21.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.2%
Away37.0%