Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 20:00
11.3172.9%
X5.6616.9%
29.3010.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Nantes
LLLDLDWDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.00
8.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.00
8.70
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
21.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.50
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.9%66.7%-6.2 pp
Draw16.9%21.7%+4.8 pp
Away10.3%11.7%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.250.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.5%
1-112.5%
3-011.7%
2-110.0%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.553.24
Average total10.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%