Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 16:00
12.3939.9%
X3.3928.2%
22.9931.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Lille
WLLWLWDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.10
Against
2.40
9.40
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.00goals per match
Lille conceded1.20
Matchup

Lille attack

1.60goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.40
9.40
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.90
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.90
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches567
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.2%+0.3 pp
Draw28.2%28.7%+0.6 pp
Away31.9%31.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.441.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-19.5%
1-09.3%
0-08.6%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.74
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=567.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%23.0%–36.1% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.8%–47.9% CI
Away FT30.2%24.0%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away50.0%