Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 20:00
11.6558.0%
X3.7625.4%
25.7716.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LLWDWDWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Auxerre
LLLDLLLLDW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
2.80
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.50goals per match
Auxerre conceded2.10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.70goals per match
Nice conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
9.40
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.30
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%59.8%+1.8 pp
Draw25.4%25.4%+0.0 pp
Away16.6%14.7%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.790.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.4%
1-012.9%
1-112.9%
2-09.4%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.853.87
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%34.3%–57.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%25.0%–47.2% CI
Away FT19.1%11.5%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals22.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away42.6%