Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 19:45
12.7434.9%
X3.6925.9%
22.4439.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
WWDLLWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Paris SG
WWWDWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.30
Against
3.30
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
1.70goals per matchParis SG conceded0.90Matchup
Paris SG attack
1.70goals per matchMarseille conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.30
10.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.80
Match total
22.40
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.10
On target
6.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%48.1%+13.2 pp
Draw25.9%19.5%-6.4 pp
Away39.2%32.5%-6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS62.3%
Historical average
1.66–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
2-111.7%
1-09.1%
2-09.1%
1-37.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–4.92
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away50.0%