Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 19:45
12.7434.9%
X3.6925.9%
22.4439.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWDLLWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Paris SG
WWWDWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.30
Against
3.30
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.70goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.30
10.10
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.80
Match total
22.40

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.10
On target
6.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%48.1%+13.2 pp
Draw25.9%19.5%-6.4 pp
Away39.2%32.5%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.661.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-111.7%
1-09.1%
2-09.1%
1-37.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.92
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away50.0%