Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 16:05
12.0347.0%
X3.5726.7%
23.6226.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
LWWDWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Nice
WWLDWDLDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
4.10
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.70goals per match
Nice conceded0.90
Matchup

Nice attack

1.30goals per match
Monaco conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
7.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
23.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.90
On target
3.70
23%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches402
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%43.5%-3.4 pp
Draw26.7%28.4%+1.7 pp
Away26.3%28.1%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.571.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-19.0%
1-08.7%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.37
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=402.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.8%22.5%–38.4% CI
Draw FT40.3%32.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT29.8%22.5%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.8%