Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 14:00
12.1245.1%
X3.5227.1%
23.4427.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
DDLDWWWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Toulouse
LLLDLLLWWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.60goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.20
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.30goals per match
Reims conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
9.70
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.20
Match total
25.20

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.90
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%42.3%-2.7 pp
Draw27.1%34.0%+6.8 pp
Away27.8%23.7%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.461.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-011.2%
2-110.7%
0-010.2%
2-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.56
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.0%27.6%–49.7% CI
Draw FT45.1%34.0%–56.6% CI
Away FT16.9%9.9%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away43.7%