Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 14:00
12.2442.6%
X3.1730.1%
23.4927.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
LLLLLWWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Troyes
WLWLLLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
2.80
40%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.20
2H goals
2.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.10
Against
6.30
6.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
2.80
2.50
Total goals
4.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Troyes conceded2.80
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.80goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.30
6.50
Match total
9.00
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
29.80
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.00
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches610
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%42.3%-0.3 pp
Draw30.1%33.4%+3.4 pp
Away27.3%24.3%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.300.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-013.0%
0-010.8%
2-010.5%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.29
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=610.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches238
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.7%29.9%–42.0% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.6%–52.1% CI
Away FT18.5%14.1%–23.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away42.0%