Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 12:00
12.1045.4%
X3.4827.4%
23.5127.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WWDLLLDWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Auxerre
LLLLDLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.60
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.40goals per match
Auxerre conceded2.30
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.70goals per match
Lorient conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.70
Match total
2.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches350
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%46.9%+1.4 pp
Draw27.4%29.1%+1.7 pp
Away27.2%24.0%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.601.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-012.0%
2-18.3%
2-08.0%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.38
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=350.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%31.6%–50.7% CI
Draw FT33.7%25.1%–43.5% CI
Away FT25.5%17.9%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away50.0%