Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 20:00
14.4021.7%
X3.6426.2%
21.8352.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
WLWLLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lens
DDLWWDDDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.20goals per matchLens conceded0.90Matchup
Lens attack
0.90goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.40
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.90
Match total
26.60
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%21.6%-0.1 pp
Draw26.2%22.5%-3.7 pp
Away52.1%55.9%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS41.4%
Historical average
0.85–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.4%
0-113.5%
1-013.5%
1-210.8%
1-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.14–5.51
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Draw FT30.6%18.0%–46.9% CI
Away FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals5.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away52.8%