Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 20:00
14.4021.7%
X3.6426.2%
21.8352.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
WLWLLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lens
DDLWWDDDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded0.90
Matchup

Lens attack

0.90goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.40
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.90
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%21.6%-0.1 pp
Draw26.2%22.5%-3.7 pp
Away52.1%55.9%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS41.4%

Historical average

0.851.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.4%
0-113.5%
1-013.5%
1-210.8%
1-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.145.51
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.523.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Draw FT30.6%18.0%–46.9% CI
Away FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away52.8%