Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 16:00
14.8819.6%
X3.8824.6%
21.7155.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
LWLLLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lyon
LLLWLWDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
2.20
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
8.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
2.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.20goals per match
Lyon conceded1.30
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.50goals per match
Angers conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
8.90
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.50
Match total
27.90

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%20.1%+0.6 pp
Draw24.6%21.3%-3.3 pp
Away55.8%58.6%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.011.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.4%
0-29.5%
1-29.5%
1-19.5%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.956.07
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%12.3%–35.6% CI
Draw FT26.1%15.6%–40.3% CI
Away FT52.2%38.1%–65.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.8%
Away63.0%