Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 16:00
14.8819.6%
X3.8824.6%
21.7155.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Angers
LWLLLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lyon
LLLWLWDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
2.20
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
8.90
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
2.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Angers attack
1.20goals per matchLyon conceded1.30Matchup
Lyon attack
1.50goals per matchAngers conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
8.90
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.50
Match total
27.90
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%20.1%+0.6 pp
Draw24.6%21.3%-3.3 pp
Away55.8%58.6%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.01–1.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.4%
0-29.5%
1-29.5%
1-19.5%
0-37.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.95–6.07
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%12.3%–35.6% CI
Draw FT26.1%15.6%–40.3% CI
Away FT52.2%38.1%–65.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals10.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.8%
Away63.0%