Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-24 · 20:00
11.3571.0%
X5.2218.4%
29.0110.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
LWWWDWDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brest
LLDLWLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.80goals per match
Brest conceded1.60
Matchup

Brest attack

0.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.40
Match total
26.80

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
6.70
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%75.3%+4.3 pp
Draw18.4%13.6%-4.8 pp
Away10.6%11.1%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.280.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
2-113.0%
2-011.7%
1-16.8%
3-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.993.48
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.0%54.0%–80.9% CI
Draw FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI
Away FT4.8%1.3%–15.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away21.4%