Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 19:45
13.7025.8%
X3.7925.1%
21.9449.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
LWWWDLWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Marseille
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.10
Against
4.90
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
3.40
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

2.00goals per match
Marseille conceded0.60
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.90
11.10
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.60
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.80
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.8%25.0%-0.8 pp
Draw25.1%21.7%-3.5 pp
Away49.1%53.3%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.221.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.9%
1-112.2%
0-36.7%
1-06.1%
0-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.185.52
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%13.3%–36.5% CI
Draw FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT41.7%28.8%–55.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals60.4%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away64.6%