Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 16:05
11.5262.9%
X4.2622.4%
26.4914.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Nantes
DLLLDLDWDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.90goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.30
Match total
25.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%62.0%-0.9 pp
Draw22.4%25.0%+2.6 pp
Away14.7%13.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.740.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.2%
1-114.1%
2-013.0%
3-06.8%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.49
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%20.9%–42.8% CI
Away FT18.5%10.9%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.1%
Away33.8%