Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 14:00
12.0746.2%
X3.2929.0%
23.8524.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
WWWDLLLDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ajaccio
LWWDLDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.00
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.40goals per matchAjaccio conceded2.00Matchup
Ajaccio attack
0.90goals per matchLorient conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.20
Match total
26.30
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches377
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%48.0%+1.9 pp
Draw29.0%27.9%-1.2 pp
Away24.8%24.1%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.44–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.9%
1-111.1%
0-011.1%
2-19.5%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.06
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=377.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%30.8%–47.6% CI
Draw FT41.3%33.1%–50.0% CI
Away FT19.8%13.8%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals30.2%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away34.1%