Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 14:00
14.4121.6%
X3.8524.8%
21.7853.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brest
LDLLDWLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Monaco
DWWWLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.10
Against
4.40
10.70
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brest attack
1.10goals per matchMonaco conceded1.00Matchup
Monaco attack
2.00goals per matchBrest conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.40
10.70
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.50
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.40
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%22.2%+0.6 pp
Draw24.8%19.4%-5.3 pp
Away53.6%58.3%+4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.05–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-19.0%
0-28.3%
2-36.9%
0-36.3%
1-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.32–5.90
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI
Draw FT31.4%18.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals11.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away45.7%