Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 12:00
11.6358.6%
X4.2422.5%
25.0618.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lille
WWLLWLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
2.70
8.50
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.10goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Matchup

Lille attack

1.60goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.70
8.50
Match total
7.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
21.00
Match total
26.70

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
6.00
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%57.0%-1.6 pp
Draw22.5%17.5%-5.0 pp
Away18.9%25.4%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

2.111.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.4%
1-111.4%
1-28.8%
1-07.9%
4-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.543.85
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away47.6%