Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-05-21 · 20:00
11.2079.9%
X8.0711.9%
211.738.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWWWWWDD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Metz
LDWDDLLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
9.10
9.00
Total
13.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.50goals per matchMetz conceded1.80Matchup
Metz attack
0.60goals per matchParis SG conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
9.10
9.00
Match total
13.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
22.20
Match total
26.90
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.20
16%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%72.7%-7.2 pp
Draw11.9%9.1%-2.8 pp
Away8.2%18.2%+10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
3.55–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-018.2%
2-19.1%
4-09.1%
0-19.1%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.18–3.27
Average total10.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home86.7%
Away40.0%