Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-05-21 · 20:00
12.1544.4%
X3.5726.7%
23.3128.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
DDWLLDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Troyes
LWLLLWDLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.20
Against
5.40
11.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Troyes conceded1.90
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.10goals per match
Lorient conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.40
11.00
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.20
Match total
26.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.4%47.8%+3.4 pp
Draw26.7%31.2%+4.5 pp
Away28.8%21.0%-7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.561.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-011.2%
2-110.7%
2-09.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.50
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.6%31.6%–54.5% CI
Draw FT41.2%30.3%–53.0% CI
Away FT16.2%9.3%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away41.2%