Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 20:00
11.7056.1%
X4.0423.6%
24.7220.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
LWWLWWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lille
WWDLWWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
9.20
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.40goals per matchLille conceded1.20Matchup
Lille attack
1.10goals per matchNice conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
9.20
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.40
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%58.8%+2.6 pp
Draw23.6%20.1%-3.5 pp
Away20.2%21.1%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.89–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.1%
1-010.1%
3-08.5%
2-08.5%
1-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.76–3.97
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Draw FT34.7%22.9%–48.7% CI
Away FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals22.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.2%
Away46.9%