Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 20:00
11.4466.4%
X5.1518.6%
26.3315.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
DDWWWLLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nantes
WWLLDLWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.30goals per match
Nantes conceded1.20
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%80.0%+13.6 pp
Draw18.6%10.0%-8.6 pp
Away15.1%10.0%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.400.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.0%
3-115.0%
1-015.0%
2-110.0%
1-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.45
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away33.3%